Thursday, January 03, 2008 :::
If I were in Iowa tonight, I think I'd go for Romney, because I want him to beat Huckabee, or Thompson, because I don't want him to be done yet. Probably the former.
My guesses are that the best-organized leaders, Edwards and Romney, win (I'm slightly more confident of the former). Even if Edwards wins Iowa and Clinton wins New Hampshire, I expect to think of Clinton as the front-runner. I declared at a Christmas party a couple of weeks ago that McCain was more likely than anyone else to be the Republican nominee, and that's still my guess.
Before you put too much stock in my guesses, keep in mind that I picked Gephardt to win Iowa four years ago.
::: posted by Steven at 5:44 PM
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