Monday, June 21, 2004 :::
 

The latest Zogby state-by-state poll puts Bush ahead, 285-253. Applying my bizarre adjustment to it flips two states, Arkansas and Michigan. In the previous poll, Arkansas supported Bush by 7.7%, and in this one it supports Kerry by 2.1%. Michigan had backed Kerry by 4% and now backs Bush by .7%. Putting each state in the camp that had it two weeks ago gives Bush a smaller 274-264 lead.

Many of the states are within the margin of error; ignoring these gives Bush a lead of 220-204. There are still no plans to hold the elections before November.

::: posted by Steven at 6:47 PM

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Idle thoughts of a relatively libertarian Republican in Cambridge, MA, and whomever he invites. Mostly political.