Friday, June 25, 2004 :::
I was talking to a trader this morning; activity has been light for weeks, and this has largely been attributed to next week's fed meeting and Iraq handover. (Sources of volatility have been excuses for high volume at other times. The financial media are a fascinating excercise in persistent cognitive dissonance. But I digress.) I quipped, "nobody wants to take a large position before the Canadian election next Monday," and he just went blank. "That was a joke," I said. "Oh," he said, with a polite chuckle.
Thing is, if they're headed for the kind of stalemate election that appears likely, I wonder whether this could have an effect of some kind on the market, especially if it takes a while to come to a resolution. Canada would have the ninth largest economy in the world if it were an independent country, and sustained uncertainty could at least concern the securities of those companies with a major presence there.
::: posted by dWj at 6:10 PM
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