Jens 'n' Frens
Idle thoughts of a relatively libertarian Republican in Cambridge, MA, and whomever he invites. Mostly political.

"A strong conviction that something must be done is the parent of many bad measures."
  -- Daniel Webster



Monday, December 01, 2003 :::
 

Lily Malcolm brings up the point that Libertarians can't be happy with Bush's profligacy; I would expect most Libertarians aren't happy with his foreign policy, either. A while ago I went back to previous election and worked out the state from which the median electoral vote came; for each state, I calculate the number of votes for the President-elect divided by the highest number of votes for any other candidate, and I rank the states in order, accumulating total electoral votes from the top until I get to 269. I can then classify states as being more Republican than the median or more Democrat than the median; thus Ohio might go for Bill Clinton but by less of a margin than most other states, and counts for that election as more Republican than the median.

Where I'm going with this is that New Hampshire provided Bush's 243rd through 246th electoral votes, ordered in this fashion, but my projection is that NH will be more Democrat than the median next year; if Bush carries New Hampshire, he wins reelection, while any Democrat who wins the election will carry New Hampshire. This is based on the premise that more residents of New Hampshire who vote Republican are strongly libertarian than is true of the nation at large. (Hence its choice of U.S. Senators. By which I mean, take this theory with a grain of salt.)



::: posted by dWj at 11:59 AM


Comments: Post a Comment







Comment Policy
_______________

Dollars and Jens
Dean's Antipopulist.com
Steven's web-site


Kitchen Cabinet
Colby Cosh
Instapundit
The Volokh Conspiracy
The Corner
The Bleat from James Lileks
Beldar
Tim Blair
Daily Ablution
RealClearPolitics
Mickey Kaus
Dave Barry
How Appealing
Virginia Postrel
Becker-Posner
Reason's "Hit and Run"
Discriminations
Captain's Quarters
Roger L. Simon
Hewitt
Power Line
IWF's InkWell
Blogs for Bush
Chetly Zarko
Signifying Nothing
 
Massachusetts
Cosmo Macero
Hub Blog
Ex Parte from Harvard Law's Federalists
Harvard CR blog
Priorities & Frivolities
Daley News
Emil Levitin
Politica Obscura
Wave Maker
Town Watch
Worcester County Repubs

 
Election '08
Don't Vote
Dave Barry
John McCain

 
Other Sites of Note
Townhall columnists Cambridge Republican City Committee
Cambridge Chronicle
Robert Winters
Boston Herald
Boston Globe
Boston Metro
Channel 5
Commonwealth Mag
Fox News
Massachusetts Republican Assembly
Robert Benchley Society

Reference
U.S. Constitution
9/11 commission report [7 Meg PDF]
Iraq Survey Group report
Fahrenheight 9/11 deceits


_______________

Idle thoughts of a relatively libertarian Republican in Cambridge, MA, and whomever he invites. Mostly political.


Powered by Blogger