Tuesday, April 01, 2003 :::
The other day, I said that the top three women's basketball teams had an average chance of winning their regions of 80% (I actually said the chance that they'd all win was 50% -- if we assume independence of events, this is roughly the same). Note:
- They did, in fact, all win.
- No men's basketball team has an 80% chance of beating the eighth best team in the country.
- The number one seed I left out of my pseudo-prediction was LSU. They just lost by a good margin.
- Texas has both their men and their women in the final four. The same school has had both teams in their final fours three times in the past. None of the six teams won the title.
At this point, I'll say 2-1 odds against UConn winning it all, 3-1 each against Duke and Tennesee, and 5-1 against Texas.
Tomorrow, incidentally, will be the first day I don't watch college basketball in at least two weeks. The men's NIT championship will be Thursday, men's NCAA games resume Saturday, and the women's NCAA semifinals are on Sunday.
::: posted by Steven at 11:15 PM
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