Monday, March 31, 2003 :::
Instapundit on SARS:
[T]his graph of cases and deaths is interesting. The number of cases continues to climb, but not the number of deaths. I think that means one of the following: (1) The outbreak started, or at least was first noticed, in an unusually vulnerable population; or (2) the virus is becoming less deadly; or (3) the reporting is wrong, and the number of deaths is actually greater now, or the number of cases was actually greater earlier.
(4) There were a few strains, early, some of them deadlier than others, and the deadliest ones tended to kill their victims before they could spread.
I suppose that's a variant on (2), but it's the first rationalization that popped into my head.
::: posted by Steven at 12:13 PM
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