|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jens 'n' Frens
Idle thoughts of a relatively libertarian Republican in Cambridge, MA, and whomever he invites. Mostly political.
"A strong conviction that something must be done is the parent of many bad measures."
-- Daniel Webster
|
|
|
|
|
|
Thursday, December 24, 2009 :::
The Census has new state population estimates for July, 2009. If these numbers were used for congressional apportionment, you would get
| state | new apportionment | current apportionment | | Arizona | 9.42 | 8 | | California | 52.72 | 53 | | Florida | 26.44 | 25 | | Georgia | 14.03 | 13 | | Illinois | 18.42 | 19 | | Iowa | 4.32 | 5 | | Louisiana | 6.43 | 7 | | Massachusetts | 9.42 | 10 | | Michigan | 14.23 | 15 | | Minnesota | 7.53 | 8 | | Missouri | 8.55 | 9 | | Montana | 1.48 | 1 | | Nevada | 3.80 | 3 | | New_Jersey | 12.43 | 13 | | New_York | 27.87 | 29 | | North_Carolina | 13.39 | 13 | | Ohio | 16.47 | 18 | | Oregon | 5.48 | 5 | | Pennsylvania | 17.98 | 19 | | South_Carolina | 6.52 | 6 | | Texas | 35.35 | 32 | | Utah | 4.00 | 3 | | Virginia | 11.25 | 11 | | Washington | 9.52 | 9 |
with other states not particularly close to either gaining or losing seats.*
Update: I'll provide this, too; if you increased the size of the House to 436, Ohio would get the next representative, representing a loss of 1 from the 2000 apportionment. The right column shows that Florida is very close to getting that next representative instead.
421 -2 New_York 415.44
422 +0 Nebraska 417.75
423 -2 California 418.62
424 +1 Georgia 420.55
425 +1 Florida 421.40
426 +0 Alabama 421.72
427 -1 Pennsylvania 425.23
428 +3 Texas 426.51
429 -1 California 426.91
430 -1 New_York 431.12
431 +0 Missouri 434.22
432 +0 California 435.20
433 +1 South_Carolina 435.35
434 +0 Minnesota 435.41
435 +1 Washington 436.19
---------
436 -1 Ohio 437.80
437 +2 Florida 437.93
438 +1 Oregon 438.69
439 +4 Texas 438.88
440 +0 Illinois 438.91
441 +0 New_Jersey 439.50
442 +1 North_Carolina 440.65
443 +2 Arizona 440.71
444 +0 Massachusetts 440.86
445 +0 Louisiana 442.05
446 +1 California 443.49
447 +1 Montana 444.44
448 +0 Michigan 445.37
449 +1 Virginia 446.60
* A state is not listed if, supposing the other 49 states had the populations given by the estimate, that state would neither gain nor lose a seat for any value of its population within 3.3% of the estimate. The number of congressional seats in a state is, of course, an integer; as I often do for apportionments, especially estimated ones, I've given numbers that, when rounded off, give the number of allocated congressmen. These numbers allow you to see, for example, that Montana could get another congressman with just a few more people, or Minnesota could lose one with just a few fewer, whereas Utah is pretty solidly at 4 seats in the new House. The number is actually given by  .
::: posted by dWj at 1:07 PM
|
|
|
|
